Pricing property right blends art and science. Particularly in a market like this one, in which both sales prices and sales volume have softened from month-to-month, analysis, while critically important, can only help so much. While we know a sale of a similar property took place three months ago, how do we compare this price to today's property value? Values in today’s market change from month-to-month. Since prices do not become public until after a sale closes, and since a period of three to four months often elapses between contract signing and closing, sales prices are already out of date by the time they become public. Would Ken Griffin's penthouse at 220 Central Park South, which was no doubt signed for some time ago, still be worth $238 million to him if he bought it today? Who knows? In this environment, what are agents and sellers (not to mention buyers) to do? Here are a few suggestions: Use Your Relationships. The most useful comparable sales in a
Two new home price indexes provide further evidence Southern California home prices are softening amid slower sales and rising inventory. The S&P/CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index released Tuesday, Jan. 29, shows house prices were up 4.4 percent year over year in November in Los Angeles and Orange counties. That’s the smallest gain since September 2012. Meanwhile, the separate and more comprehensive CoreLogic Home Price Index released earlier this month showed house prices up 5.2 percent from year-ago levels in Los Angeles County and the Inland Empire. House prices rose 3.3 percent in Orange County. Those are the smallest gains in L.A. and Orange counties since the summer of 2012 and the smallest gain in the Inland Empire since the summer of 2015. Case-Shiller figures show appreciation is falling in the nation as a whole as well. The firm’s National Home Price Index showed U.S. home prices up 5.2 percent in November – the eighth consecutive month of slowing home